20121226

The election outcome of despair 1 : Economic policy 1 


 Japanese government debt

< a red line shows Japanese government debt >

This one-week was the days tormented by despair, anger, and a sense of powerlessness.

In the result of a national election of Japan, Japan will fall to an abyss.

Why is politics of Japan the worst?


The political party that stagnated Japanese economy for the past 30 years came back to political power.

And without reflecting on themselves, they are trying to take their conventional method and dangerous means.

Although I want my prediction deviate, i point out some dangerous factors.


この1週間は絶望、怒り、無力感に苛まれた日々でした。

日本の国政選挙の結果では、日本が奈落の底へと堕ちるだろう。

なぜ日本の政治はこうも劣悪なのか? 


数十年間、日本を停滞させた政党が政権に返り咲いた。

しかも彼らは反省するどころか、従来の方法と危険な手段を取ろうとしている。

私の予測が外れることを望むが、いくつかの危険要因を指摘しておきます。


Economic policy


Why do people allow that they have disregarded the economy?

The Liberal Democratic Party had performed public investment for 30 years. It was 7 to 12 trillion yen every year.

This had got to push up Japanese gross domestic productGDP, about 450 trillion yenfrom 8 to 13%. (As the marginal propensity to consume is 0.8.)

However, the economic growth rate fell from 4% to 0% in the meantime.

For this reason, 35 trillion yen national bond was floated every year. And 10 trillion yen of these was used to pay off debts.

This amount repaid will increase from now on. And if interest rates go up, the amount repaid will increase several times.


経済政策

なぜ国民は経済無視を許すのか?

自民党は毎年7から12兆円の公共投資を30年間行って来た。

これは日本のGDP450兆円を8~13%押し上げるはずであった。( 限界消費性向=0.8として)

しかしこの間、経済成長率は4%から0%へと低下していった。

この為に35兆円の国債が毎年発行された。その内借金返済が10兆円であった。

この返済額は今後増加し、金利が上昇すればその金額は数倍になる。


 Japanese corporate investment 

< a black line shows Japanese corporate investment >

A clear thing


Since the public investment has little effect, the outstanding obligation only increases.

Why does the party put power into this policy?  It will be only for protection of vested rights and interests.

Since the economic growth is indispensable to settle up the debts, we must carefully carry out the policy of reflation.



明確なこと

公共投資は効果が少ない為、債務残高は増加するだけである。

なぜ自民党がこの政策に力を入れるのか、それは既得権益擁護、票田確保の為だけだろう。

経済成長なくして債務解消は無いので、取り敢えずリフレ策を用心しながら実施すべきだろう。

 the gross domestic product(GDP)in Japan

< growth rate of the gross domestic productGDPin Japan

What is likened to Japan?

The seriously injured diabetic is eating beef and a sweet cake heartily, carrying out insulin injection every day.

He is likened to Japan.

A serious illness of Japan is in the collusive relation between the public and private sectors, such as that nuclear power plant promotion and agricultural protection.

It is because there is much industry that abandoned growth by regulation or protection.

This seems to give the vested-rights-and-interests industry by immense government bond issuance (injection) (gluttony).

This is same as that people give assistance for the privileged business by immense government bond issuance.

We look at about economy next time also.


日本を例えるなら

重傷の糖尿病患者は毎日インスリン注射をしながら、牛肉や甘いケーキをたらふく食べている。

彼は日本に例えられる。

重病とは原発推進や農業保護に見られる官民の癒着構造にある。

それは規制や保護によって成長を放棄した産業が多いことによる。

これは国民が莫大な国債発行で特権ある業界を援助することと同じである。

次回も経済について見ます。





















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