20130210

Birth of primitive art 6: perspective of glacial epoch fine arts


a bison looking back


< a bison looking back: Madeleine, 20000 years ago >


We have seen until now the glacial epoch fine arts that happened in Europe.

This time, we consider the meaning of the glacial arts.


transition of Venus statue

< transition of Venus statue: left side, Czech, about30000 years ago. right side, Germany, 15000 years ago.


The feature of glacial epoch fine arts

1.       What was drawn and sculpted
Although horse, bison and deer were drawn plenty, fish and reindeer that could be caught easily were not drawn little. A natural scene also was not drawn. The mammoth that could be caught rarely, the pregnant female, and the animal of one pair of male and female animals are conspicuous in there. Although the scene where peoples hunted animals were not drawn, an animal in which bow and spear were stuck, and something like trap or cage were drawn.

Male design was simple thing of two points by the circle and another was symbolization of genitals. As for female design, shape of a body was emphasized, and relief in cave and sculpture was only female images. Other sculptures of whole body were half beast and half man or personalized thing.

Else, There are hand paintings that lacked any fingers and simple and various figures. It seems that the numbers were recorded by the condition of lacked finger in hand paintings, and engraved lines recorded the calendar too. Some simple figures were broadly common.



transition of cave pictures

<  transition of cave pictures: lift side, hyena, France,32000 years ago. right side, bison, Spain,14500 years ago

2.        Technique of drawing and sculpting
The pictorial expression began from the monochromatic outline of a line, and progressed to the line drawing with inflection.
Subsequently, the details like hair were drawn additionally, the contrasting density was expressed in connection with widely painting, and then it progressed to polychromatic drawing from 2-color drawing.

Although most animal images were drawn by the side view, only the hoof was drawn by the front view. This will be because the hoof that shows health condition was thought as important. This brings my mind back to the mural painting of ancient Egypt.

Paints were devised very much and obtained the multiple colors that mixes various minerals with oil and fats, and is liquid. In Altamira, the charcoal that obtains black was selected carefully by the wooden kind. In Lascaux, the bone of the animal was burned at 400 degrees, and calcite was mixed with it, and also it became hot at 1000 times, and used it.


3. others


There is many cave painting in the inner part of the caves that not get any sunlight. There is it in the entrance used as the place of the life. Moreover, the mural painting is drawn also on the cave in which it does not live. The animal of the cave paintings was almost painted-over picture, and probably, the peoples in those days didn’t put importance on good-looking picture.

In 20,000 years, although cave painting came to have a rich expression, Venus statue of end-stage half became a simple design. Although this Venus statue image had a commonality by the side view, it reflected the diversity of the region.



hand painting in cave、Flute

< hand painting in cave: France ,32000 years ago. Flute: made of bone, German, about 35000 years ago. >

What changed?

1.        have magical thinking : They expressed things that they wished and accept a value through paintings and statue, and people present their wishes to it.

2.        manipulated number and technology :  They began to record a notation or a calendar by combining. Technology was developed similarly.

3.       created and place importance on formality : Although fine arts change with the times and  reflect the diversity of the region, have a commonality.

4.      cherished these with groups : They taught pictures technique, left cave painting to the specific person, and occasionally performed the festival.

5.       moved broadly and trafficked with the long distance : We can guess from a stone tool, the similarity of design with fine arts, and stone tool material.

People lived by rock shadow at 30,000 years ago
 < People lived by rock shadow at 30,000 years ago >

What happened to human beings?

Cro-Magnon man began half-settled life with the group more than a family in arctic cold, in and around cave.

Two reasons made it possible was that they had to hunt much reindeer that do seasonal migration by group, and coldness enabled preservation of a lot of meat.

If it is hot, meat will rot. If it is cold, a reindeer will disappear and their heavy winter clothing becomes useless.

They were able to make the dress that matches their body by the needle made from a bone.

The intercommunion with a family, a group, and other groups influenced each other, and greatly developed language, child-rearing, and technology. Furthermore, culture and a sense of values (religion, art) were produced.


Next time, we will look at decline period of glacial epoch fine arts.




20130202

The election of despair7: very bad political culture 5



sinking Japan 


< sinking Japan >

Last time, we looked at the election situation of Britain, Germany, and Greece.

The tendency of small political parties also proceeded on any country.

Especially in Greece, many small parties have increased as a result of the economic crisis at a breath.

This time I will explore root causes of the problem and this series is finished.

How is the U.S. that a two-party system can regard as functioning well?

Although the President was chosen from the Democratic Party, on the House of Representatives, the Republican Party gets a majority in the election two years ago.

As the result, as well as Japan, the President faced difficulties in controlling of the government.

As shown on the chart, the long-term decline in political party approval ratings suggests the situation.

As for the decrease of party supporters, the floating votes will make the Administration unstable like Japan.



 political party approval ratings in U.S.


< political party approval ratings in U.S.  redRepublican Partyblue Democratic Partyblackpolitical independents >


transition of voter turnout in six nations 
< transition of voter turnout in six nations >

What has occurred in the West and Japan?

All the voter turnouts of major nations are in a downward tendency.

                   


 reliability to the politics in six nations 


< reliability to the politics in six nations >

Although the level of voter turnouts and reliability is not correlated, it together is in a downward tendency.

Especially note that only Japan is remarkably low.

As we have already seen, the increase in small political party and independents is progressing in parallel to decline in voter turnout.

As history illustrates, the increase in small political party causes political confusion increasingly, and it will also make collapsing society at the end.


Then, why is the distrust in politics increasing?

The situation common to these major nations has the following problem.

1.        economic stagnation: Although Japan, the U.S. and Europe powerfully accomplished economic growth after the war, but the economic growth become slowdown tendency from the 1980s. The average economic growth rate fell from 9% to 0.8% in Japan, and from 4% to 1% in EU.

2.        increase of economic differentiation: Gini coefficient is an index which shows the complaint of distribution of income and property. As shown on the chart, it shows a long-term upward tendency on many advanced nations.



 Gini coefficient in each nations

< Gini coefficient in each nationsit take from 0 to 1,0= omniparity, 1= complete inequality >

Expansion of economic stagnation and economic differentiation will be based on stiffness of social economy.

Advanced nations repeated the bubble by large credit expansion and fiscal expenditure performed after the 80s.

Each time, the economic differentiation in their nations became wide and choice of the government was increasingly restricted by the budget deficit.

On the other hand, people probably are increasing dissatisfaction and uneasiness gradually.

The People expressed dissatisfaction by refusing the existing politics.

However, it does not become the solution.

Even so, why is a situation of Japan severe?

1.        political awareness is low:  The consciousness that citizens support the politics of their country is not still growing. In the Meiji Restoration, the citizens did not become the political leading role.  The enforcement of universal suffrage was also slow.

2.       National Traits (favor to inner group etc.): Japanese people accommodate themselves to circumference and avoid conspicuous action. Although this is good when the society is in a safe state, if it become in a state of high anxiety, the people will do selfish action suddenly. This causes the result that they depend on a forcing leader by the presence of small political parties.
                                                   
I think that the signs have appeared now.

Even if the economy become well once, the fearful end may be waiting, after economic bubble burst.

I do not know the policy that overcomes this situation.

Please you be careful.


Thank you for having read for a long time.










20130126

The election of despair6: very bad political culture 4

The parliament house of each country 、国会議事堂


< The parliament house of each country >

Last time, we looked at situation that people quickly abandoned the Cabinet that had been selected by the election.

It was much different from Japan that the situations of European and American advanced nations and a neighboring nation.

In this time and next time, I will explain the cause comparing with overseas situations.


Conspicuous election situations in Japan   (legislative elections)  

l      Dissipated political parties likely fog:  After the war, the political parties that exceed 50  was born and disappeared, and 14 political parties have seats now. These many will also disappear soon in several years.

l       The seats of political parties are reversed on each elections:  2009 years and 2012 years in the Lower House election, it was greatly reversed the standings between the ruling and opposition parties. 

l      Declining turnout of voters:  in the Lower House election, the turnout is 92% in 1917, 75% in 1955, and 59% in 2012. This shows decreasing trend.

l      Increasing independents of voters:  they are increasing from 10% in 1960s to 50% in 2012 years.

These weaken political power and become a serious obstacle for reorganizing the stagnant society and economy of Japan.

Has this problem arises in European and American advanced nations?

What are as the difference between Japan and the West, or its background factor?



前回は、選挙で選んだ内閣に対して国民が短期間で興ざめする状況を見ました。

それは欧米先進国や隣国とかなり異なるものでした。

今回と次回で、その原因を海外と比較しながら探ります。


日本の目立つ選挙状況 (国会選挙)

1.        降って湧く政党 :戦後、生まれて消えていった政党は50を越え、現在14の政党が議席を持つ。これらの多くもやがて数年で消えるだろう。

2.        選挙毎に大きく逆転する議席  衆院選2009年、2012年で大きく与野党が逆転した。

3.        低迷続ける投票率 : 衆院選191792%、195575%、201259%となり低下傾向。

4.        増加する無党派層 : 1960年代10%から201250%へと増加傾向。

これらは政治力を弱くし、沈滞した日本の社会経済を立て直すには大きくマイナスとなる。

この問題は欧米先進国に起こっているのだろうか?

日本と欧米との違いやその背景には何があるのだろうか?


  
 UK general election vote share and resultant governments、英国議会の政党得票率

< UK general election vote share and resultant governments(1950-2010), blue=conservative, redlabour, yellowliberal, grayothers >

Party support increasingly has dispersed widely during the past 20 years. When they did not unite in 2010, the handling of the government by them became impossible.

In past days, the ruling and opposition parties have changed as the two-party system in each about ten years.

Differing from Japan, the third party is growing throughout several decades.

.
ここ20年ほどで政党支持が分散する傾向に拍車がかかり、2010年には連合しないと政権運営が出来なくなった。

以前は二大政党制で大凡10年毎に与野党が交代して政権を担っていた。

それでも日本と異なるのは、第三政党が数十年をかけて育っていることです。



 Historic seat distribution in the German Bundestag、ドイツ議会の政党議席
  
< Historic seat distribution in the German Bundestag(1949-2009), blackCDU/CSU, redSPD, yellowFDPgreenGreengrayothers >

In 1983 years, the Green Party made an advance into parliament. Since then it became 4 party system. And the left-wing party was added in 2005. Since then it became 5 party system.


Germany adopts a proportional representation and combines first past the post system with it.

From a bitter experience with the presence of small political parties that became a hotbed on which Nazis gain power, if new party did not exceed 5 percent of the votes, cannot acquire the seat for Parliament.

But the presence of small political parties is becoming remarkable also here.





1983年、緑の党が議会進出し4党制となり、2005年には左翼党が加わり5党体制となった。

ドイツは比例代表制(小選挙区併用)だが、ナチス台頭の温床になった小政党乱立の苦い経験から得票率が5%を越えないと国会に議席を得られないようにしている。

しかし、ここでも小政党氾濫が顕著になりつつある。


  
 in Greece, voter support for parties and annual change in GDP 、ギリシャの政党得票率

< in Greece, voter support for parties and annual change in GDP

We look at Greek politics that is confused at a breath, depending on falling into the economic crisis.

The beginning was the change of power in October 2009, and budget deficit that was hidden by the old government was revealed.

It developed into the big issue that involved in EU from the middle of 2010.

13 political parties fought in the election in April 2012.

The radical leftist alliance that was small political parties became the second party that has 52 seats in the parliament.

ND (New Democratic) was a dominant party of 108 seats. The seats of the party are distributed much more to a higher rank of obtained votes.

There were formerly in a two-party system of ND and Pasok (The Panhellenic Socialist Movement).

As a graph shows, the GDP falls rapidly, and the approval rating for two main political parties fall at a breath, and caused the presence of small political parties.



ここで経済危機に陥り、一気に政治が混迷したギリシャを見る。

発端は200910月の政権交代で、旧政府による財政赤字隠しが発覚し、2010年中頃よりEUを巻き込む大問題へと発展した。

20124月の選挙において13政党がしのぎを削り、少数政党だった急進派左派連合が52議席の第二党に躍り出た。ND(新民主主義党)が108議席の第一党。議席数は得票上位により多く配分されるシステムになっている。

従来はNDPasok(全ギリシャ社会主義運動)の二大政党制だった。

グラフが示すように、GDPが急激に落ち込み、二大政党への支持率が一気に低下し、多党制を招くことになった。



trust of Greeks, May 2011、ギリシャ人の信頼感


< trust of Greeks, May 2011. bluetrustred=do not trust, top barfellow citizens,7thgovernments, 8thpolitical parties >

The government was not most trusted, and trust in fellow citizens also was small.

Rapid economic deterioration, subvention reduction and pension reduction by the tight budget, and the distrust of the government that caused it exploded at a breath.

This is a dangerous sign, but the election system of Greece that prevents presence of many small parties is useful barely.

Next time, we will analyze the background of this situation occurred in the world.



一番、信頼されていないのは政府であり、地域社会に対してさえ低下している。

急激な経済悪化、緊縮財政による補助金や年金の減少、それを招いた政府への不信感が一気に爆発した。

これは危険な兆候だと言えるが、小党乱立を防ぐギリシャの選挙システムがかろうじて役立っている。


次回は、世界で起きているこの選挙状況の背景を分析します。






20130118

The election outcome of despair5: very bad political culture3


 The President, the prime minister

< The President, the prime minister of each country 

Last time, we looked at the situation where public opinion for nuclear power generation public opinion was not reflected in this election.

This time, we look at rapid declines of government’s approval rating that are one of the causes.

Comparing with overseas, we can check an abnormality of the election in Japan.



前回は原発世論が選挙に反映されない状況を見ました。

今回は、その原因の一つである急激に低下する内閣支持率を見ます。

海外と比較しながら、日本の異常ぶりを確認します。

 Transition of government’s approval rating in Japan 

< Transition of government’s approval rating in Japan >

In Japan, in about half year, the people almost abandoned the Cabinet that they chose. And the Cabinet changed places in about one years.

半年もすれば国民は内閣を見限り、1年で内閣は交代する。


 Transition of President Obama's approval rating 

< Transition of President Obama's approval rating >

This chart shows the approval rating of Obama who was inaugurated as the U.S. President in January 2009 during two and a half years.

The Republican Party got a majority of the House of Representatives by the election in November 2010.

As a result, his political management became difficult, and his approval rating declined, but it regained soon.
Although President Obama's approval rating declined, if it is compared with Japan, it is small.


上記グラフは2009年1月、1期目の大統領に就任したオバマの2年半の支持率を示す。

2010年11月の中間選挙において共和党が下院の過半数を占めたことにより、ねじれが生じ政局運営が困難になり支持率の低下が進んだ。しかし盛り返した。

大統領の支持率は減少したとは言え、日本と比べれば微々たるものです。


 Transition of U.S. previous presidents’ approval ratings 

< Transition of U.S. previous presidents’ approval ratings >

This chart shows that almost all U.S. previous Presidents have lowered the approval ratings sharply at the end.

For example, although the approval rating of W. bush declined to 30% from 85%, it took  six years and a half.


上記グラフから、米国の歴代大統領さえ最後には大幅に支持率を下げていることがわかる。

例えばW.ブッシュの支持率は85%から30%に低下しているが、6年半の長きにわたる結果です。


 Transition of The British party leader's approval ratings

< Transition of The British party leader's approval ratingsThe value was subtracted the disapproval rating from the approval rating. >

The Political power replaced the Conservative Party from the Labor Party in May 2010. And Cameron became the prime minister.

At this time, he united with the leader Clegg of the Liberal Democratic Party.

Miliband are the Labor Party leaders of the opposition party.

The final net satisfaction(approval rating disapproval rating) of previous cabinets in JapanAbe’s cabinet was 58%, subsequently 53%,50%,61%,and Noda’s it was 48%.

Comparing with it, the British party leader's approval ratings were only 20% after two years.


2010年5月に政権が労働党から保守党に代わり、cameronが首相になった。この時、自由民主党の党首cleggと連合を組んだ。milibandは野党の労働党党首です。

日本における歴代内閣の最終の[支持率-不支持率]は、安部首相の-55%から、-58、-53、-50、-61、野田首相の-48%であった。

それに比べて英国では2年後で-20%に過ぎない。



 previous French presidents’ approval ratings

<  previous French presidents’ approval ratingsa green line is approval, a red is disapproval.

In this chart, although the Presidents’ approval ratings declined a little during 5 and 8 years, it recovered at last half soon again.

They are passionate about executing their policy according to their ideas until approval ratings decline to 30 and 40 %.
But, in consideration of the next presidential election, they tried to retrieve support by popular policy.

This chart shows the result of them aiming.



この表から、大統領は5~8年の任期中に若干支持率を低下させたものの、やがてまた後半支持率を回復していった。

これは支持率が30~40%に落ちるまで自らの理念に従い、政策遂行に執念を燃やすが、次ぎの大統領選に向けて人気取りの施策で挽回を図った結果のようです。


 South Korean Presidents’ approval rating

< South Korean Presidents’ approval rating盧泰愚=yellow、金泳三=red、金大中=green、盧武鉉=blue、李明博=purple 

This chart shows transition of the Presidents’ approval ratings during five years in term of office.

At first, although the approval ratings are high, the last declined until about 20%.

Although this is the same as Japan, the period is from 5 to 10 times longer than Japan.

Moreover, Lee Myung-bak(李明博) and Roh Moo Hyun(盧武鉉) became unpopular within one year, but became popular again.


グラフは任期5年間にわたる支持率の推移を示している。

最初は高支持率だが最後は20%前後に落ち込む。これは日本と同じだが、その期間は日本の5から10倍長い。

また李明博や盧武鉉のように1年以内に落ち込んでも、後に挽回している。


What is this problem?

The critical issue, since the Cabinet is not stabilized, is too short term to tackle an important policy.

The big cause that has caused it is national public opinion that is easy to heat and cools down easily.

The big one of the causes is national public opinion that is easily warmed up but just as easily cooled down.

As a result, the people accepted the short-lived the Cabinet and are content with scraps of policy.

Such political situation was not in the U.S., Britain, France, and South Korea.

These many are the single-member district system (proportional representation system is included).

Although many tops term of office are from 4 to 5 years by each countries, they have worked for longer ministry than it.

This difference may have rested with politicians, bureaucrats, mass media, election system, and society in Japan.

However, the people have to have a sense of crisis for this problem is the first step.

Next time, other political cultures are compared with the world.
  


何が問題か?

一番の問題は内閣が安定しない為に、重要政策に取り組めないことにある。

その大きな一因は、熱しやすく冷めやすい国民世論である。

国民は、結果的に短命内閣を受け入れ、細切れの政策実施に甘んじている。

こんな政治状況は米国、英国、フランス、韓国にはなかった。

これらの多くは小選挙区制(比例代表制含む)であり、国のトップは4~5年任期が多いが、それ以上に長い在任期間を全うしている。

この違いは政治家、官僚、マスコミ、それこそ選挙制度や社会が悪いのもあるだろう。

しかし国民がこのことに危機意識を持つことが第一歩である。


次回は、他の政治文化を世界と比較します。