要約 迫る多難な危機

 

「一時の自己満足の為に人類を破滅させては、神も悲しむだろう」

 

まえがき

　現在、深刻な危機が我々に迫っています。さらに大国の横暴が目に余るようになり、より危険度が増しています。今、我々と米国民が立ち上がらなければ世界は手遅れになります。

Make the world and people happy again!

 

 

 

世界は危機に晒されている　　　第一章の要約

 

 

 

　10を越える世界的な危機が我々に迫っている。戦争・紛争の増加、独裁国家の増加、経済格差の拡大、再来する巨大金融危機、投機マネーの暗躍、深刻さを増す地球温暖化、ITに続くAI革命の脅威、激しくなる国内の分断（右翼ポピュリズム）、分裂を始めた世界の協力体制等です。

 

しかし喫緊の課題は米国の独裁化で、これが完成してしまうと米国だけでなく世界が破滅する。

 

 

 

人類は危機を乗り越えて来た　　　　第二章の要約

 

　今の米国を見ると、手の施しようがないようにも思えるが、人類は、様々な危機を幾度も乗り越えて来た。戦争の終結に向けて平和条約を締結した幾多の国々、独裁者や大国の侵略から独立を非暴力で勝ち取った国民、拡大した貧富の差の解消を目指した改革者、繰り返す金融危機への苦渋の対応、公害や環境破壊への多国間の協力体制、産業革命で対立を乗り越え民主社会を築き続けた労働者、社会の分断を未然に防いだ優れた指導者、世界の平和と幸福に貢献し続ける世界機関創立などがその例です。

 

　我々人類は、数千年の間、危機、苦難、社会や国同士の対立を乗り越え、より平和と幸福を勝ち取って来た。英知を持って行動すれば必ず道は開ける。

 

 

 

 

我々が直面している危機　　　第三章の要約

 

しかし、21世紀以降、世界は悪化の度合を急激に深めている。

 

 

 

　喫緊の課題を採り上げます。先ずはプーチンとウクライナ侵攻です。これは独裁者の常であり、放置すればヒトラーによる大戦の二の舞いになる。注意が必要なのはトランプがプーチンと繋がっている可能性が高い事です（事実を積み重ねれば見える）。

 

多くの国で、勢いを増す投機マネーの横暴さと税金逃れが格差拡大とインフレを亢進させ、福祉削減が追い打ちをかけるように国民を益々苦しめている。

 

　地球温暖化は、既に取返しのつかない状況に陥りつつある。長期戦になるが今から防止策の遅れを取り戻す必要がある。

 

いま始まったAI革命は、適切に制御出来れば、人類に大きく貢献するだろう。しかし、人知を超えたAIは人類最悪の脅威になる可能性が高く、既にこの危惧は現実になり始めた。放置すれば手に負えなくなる。

 

 

　悪いことに、世界から最も頼りにされていた米国でアメリカンドリームが潰え、貧困と絶望死が増えた結果、分断の嵐が吹き荒れ、遂にはトランプによる独裁が現実化して来た。この米国の悲劇をもたらした真因は、多くの先進国の経済にも深く根付き、各国で右翼ポピュリズムが吹き荒れ、世界は分裂を深めている。

　

　このまま行けば、米国は人類史に大きな汚点を残すか、最悪、世界と共に滅ぶかもしれない。

 

 

 

 

緊急に対応しなければならない危機　　　第四章の要約

 

 

 

「米国民は、なぜこんな悲惨な道を歩み続けたのか？」の謎を解くことで、そこから脱出する方策が見える。

 

ポイントは三つある。

　大半の国民に取って希望が無くなり、生活が苦しくなったのは、80年代に始まる新自由主義（共和党レーガン大統領が始めた）にあります。これは規制のない自由市場、労働者（福祉政策低減も）を見捨てる、累進課税の撤廃、金融業界重視等が、長い年月を掛けて富裕層・大企業を繁栄させ肥大化させた。これがインフレを亢進させ、政策が富裕層・大企業にコントロールされるようになり、結果的に大半の国民の賃金が上がらなくなった。この悪弊は、日欧等の先進国にも共通しており、いずれ大問題になる。

 

　グローバル化やIT革命も災いしているが、この期間でさえ就業者数は着実に伸びていた。問題は労働者が適切に高賃金労働へと転職出来なかったからです。これについて北欧各国はうまく対応している。米国共和党は何ら手を打たなかった。民主党は高度知識社会対応で高学歴化を促したが、効果は限定的でした。移民は、低技能職で多少低賃金化を招いたが、米国経済や高齢化に貢献しているのは確実です。一部の治安悪化は、差別による経済格差を放置していることの方が影響している。

 

野放しの自由は腐敗と独占を生み、国民にとって取返しの付かない悲惨な状況を招いた。

 

 

　二つ目は、これらの事実を隠すために様々な目くらましが行われた来た事にある。共和党と大企業（FOX等も）が長年流して来た「オルタナティブ・ファクト（もう一つの事実）」の洪水があり、トランプが完成させた。既得権益層（笑い）が、単純な陰謀論「ディープステート（闇の政府）」をでっちあげて国民を洗脳したが、それを信じてしまうほど社会は分断され、右翼ポピュリズムが勢力を持つようになっていた。トランプ現象は当然の帰結でした。このオルタナティブ・ファクトの歴史は、ニューディール政策を貶める事に始まり、フロンガスやタバコの害を無害と偽り、気候変動は起きていないと言い募る事に象徴されている。さらに、21世紀以降、インターネットとSNSが加わり、フェイクや怒りに煽情されやすくなってしまい、選挙が操られるようになった。加えて最高裁が保守派に牛耳られた事で、金権選挙がまかり通るようになり、益々既得権益層に有利になってしまった。

 

こうして米国民は真実が見えなくなってしまい、操られるようになった。

 

 

　三つ目は、キリスト教原理主義（復古・懐古主義）、これは米国特有です。ヨーロッパのキリスト教は世俗化が進んでいるのですが、米国のこの教派は、西部開拓の名残で、信仰は回心（理性を失うほどの情熱）が重視されており、幾度も熱情に駆られ米国社会を揺り動かして来た。これに火が着いたのは、大戦後の赤狩り（共産主義）に象徴されるように、非白人移民の大量流入とリベラルな人権運動への危機感からでした。彼らの異常なまでの恐怖感と敵意は、多くの海外侵攻を後押しして来ました。また米国には裕福なユダヤ人が多い事から、イスラエル支援に繋がるハルマゲドン信仰も勢いを得たのでしょう。

 

　共和党は、この教派を選挙に取り込んだ事で勢力を拡大し、かつ彼らの政策が科学的・論理的な帰結である必要がなくなり、自由度が増した。実は、この手口は、多くの疲弊した国で行われ、権力奪還を目指す既得権益層が、原理主義的な教派を取り込むことで成功している. サウジアラビアのイスラム原理主義、プーチンのロシア正教、イスラエル、イランやインドでも見られます。この同盟は権力者と教派には利益が多いのですが、間違いなく国民にとっては悲劇になります。この宗教問題は、今後も深刻な問題を起こすことになるでしょう。

 

宗教は、地域と人々に安らぎをもたらすが、往々にして人々を盲目にする。

 

 

 

放置すれば最大の危機、どう対峙すべきか　　　第4と5章の要約

 

　米国民が、この中間選挙で政治を正常に戻すことが出来なければ、今後、非暴力で二度と再起は出来ないでしょう。是非とも、米国の良心を世界に示していただきたい。これに成功しなければ、プーチン、トランプ、イスラエル、中国、北朝鮮が、世界を戦火のるつぼに投じる可能性が現実味を帯びる。さらに幾多の重大危機を止める事が不可能になってしまう。

 

　どうか良識ある米国民は、科学と真実を尊重し、不道徳極まりない人物を廃して、かつて希望があり成功した自由民主主義社会を取り戻してください。米国の若い人は、現在、苦しい状況が続いており、世界の為とか独裁阻止よりも、日々の糧の方が先かもしれないが、トランプでは、絶対に悪化するだけです。理由は明らかです。彼の大言壮語・虚言、非科学的・非論理的、政策を理解しない、エゴ・独善的、どれをとっても、これからの困難な時代に彼が不適任であることは明白です。

 

　ヒトラーは演説で国民を魅了したが、所詮、一介の画生・兵卒であり、政策は素人でした。初期には周辺に逸材がいて、上手くやれたのですが、後に彼らはヒトラーによって粛清された。トランプのビジネスキャリヤは、倒産の連続で、スラップ訴訟多用で、何とかやってこれたところがある。信じるに値しない人物は避けるべきです。

 

 

 

最後に

　米国が立ち直ることは容易ではないが、世界と歴史を見れば、けっして不可能ではない。残念ながら日本の中枢を担う官僚が内向きなので、このような危機に即して役に立たない。申し訳ありません。しかし社会制度は北欧の福祉国家が参考になるので希望はあります。

 

 

 

ながらく拝読して頂きありがとうございました。

 

　

 

 

　

 

Summary: An Imminent and Severe Crisis

 

“If some people have been to bring about the destruction of humanity just for a moment's self-satisfaction, God would be saddened.”

 

Foreword

  We are currently facing a serious crisis. Furthermore, the arrogance of major powers has become increasingly intolerable, making the situation even more dangerous. If we and the American people do not take action now, it will be too late for the world.

“Make the world and people happy again!”

 

 

 

The World is in Crisis　　　Summary of Chapter 1

 

  We are facing more than 10 global crises. These include an increase in wars and conflicts, the rise of authoritarian states, widening economic inequality, the recurrence of massive financial crises, the covert activities of speculative capital, the growing severity of global warming, the threat of the AI revolution following the IT revolution, intensifying domestic divisions (right-wing populism), and the fragmentation of the global cooperative framework.

 

However, the most pressing issue is the rise of authoritarianism in the United States; if this process is allowed to run its course, it will lead to the ruin not only of the United States but of the entire world.

 

 

 

Humanity Has Overcome Crises in the Past　　　　Summary of Chapter 2

 

　Looking at the United States today, it may seem as if there is no hope, but humanity has overcome various crises time and time again. Countless nations that have signed peace treaties to end wars; people who have nonviolently won their independence from dictators and the aggression of major powers; reformers who have sought to bridge the widening gap between rich and poor; painful responses to recurring financial crises; multilateral cooperation to address pollution and environmental destruction; workers who overcame conflicts during the Industrial Revolution to continue building democratic societies; outstanding leaders who prevented social division before it arose; and the establishment of international organizations that continue to contribute to world peace and happiness—these are all examples.

 

　For thousands of years, we, as humanity, have overcome crises, hardships, and conflicts between societies and nations to achieve greater peace and happiness. If we act with wisdom, a path will surely open up.

 

 

 

The Crisis We Face　　　Summary of Chapter 3

 

However, since the beginning of the 21st century, the world has been rapidly deteriorating.

 

 　Let’s address the most pressing issues. First is Putin and the invasion of Ukraine. This is typical of dictators, and if left unchecked, it will lead to a repeat of the world war caused by Hitler. What we must be wary of is the high likelihood that Trump has ties to Putin (this becomes clear when the facts are pieced together).

 

In many countries, the rampant excesses of speculative capital and tax evasion—which are gaining momentum—are fueling growing inequality and inflation, while cuts to social welfare programs are compounding the hardship faced by citizens.

 

Global warming is already on the verge of reaching a point of no return. Although this will be a long-term battle, we must make up for lost time in implementing preventive measures starting now.

 

The AI revolution that has just begun will likely make a significant contribution to humanity if it is properly controlled. However, AI that surpasses human understanding is highly likely to become humanity’s greatest threat, and this fear has already begun to materialize. If left unchecked, it will become unmanageable.

 

　To make matters worse, as the American Dream crumbled in the United States—the nation the world relied on most—and poverty and deaths from despair increased, a storm of division raged, ultimately leading to the emergence of Trump’s dictatorship. The root cause of this American tragedy is deeply entrenched in the economies of many developed nations; right-wing populism is sweeping through these countries, and the world is becoming increasingly divided.

 

 

 

Crises That Require Immediate Action　　　Summary of Chapter 4

 

 By unraveling the mystery of “Why have Americans continued down such a tragic path?” we can see a way out from it.

 

There are three key points.

 

 The reason the vast majority of the public lost hope and found life increasingly difficult stems from neoliberalism, which began in the 1980s (initiated by Republican President Reagan). Over many years, an unregulated free market—which abandons workers (including through cuts to welfare policies), the abolition of progressive taxation, and a focus on the financial sector—has allowed the wealthy and large corporations to prosper and grow out of proportion. This fueled inflation, led to policies being controlled by the wealthy and large corporations, and ultimately resulted in wages for the majority of the population failing to rise. This problem is common to developed nations such as Japan and Europe, and will eventually become a major issue.

 

Although globalization and the IT revolution have also played a role, the number of employed people continued to grow steadily even during this period. The problem was that workers were unable to successfully transition to higher-paying jobs. The Nordic countries have handled this situation effectively. The U.S. Republican Party took no action whatsoever. The Democratic Party promoted higher education as a response to the knowledge-based society, but the results were limited. While immigration has led to somewhat lower wages in low-skilled jobs, it has undoubtedly contributed to the U.S. economy and addressed the challenges of an aging population. The deterioration of public safety in some areas is more attributable to the failure to address economic disparities caused by discrimination.

 

Unchecked freedom led to corruption and monopolies, resulting in an irreparable tragedy for the people.

 

 

　The second reason is that various smokescreens have been used to conceal these facts. There has been a flood of “alternative facts” that the Republican Party and big corporations (including FOX) have been spreading for years, and Trump brought it to its culmination. The establishment (laughter) concocted a simplistic conspiracy theory—the “Deep State”—to brainwash the public, but society had become so deeply divided that people actually believed it, allowing right-wing populism to gain a foothold.The Trump phenomenon was an inevitable outcome. This history of “alternative facts” began with efforts to discredit the New Deal, and is symbolized by claims that Freon gas and tobacco are harmless, as well as persistent denials that climate change is occurring. Furthermore, since the 21st century, with the advent of the internet and social media, people have become more susceptible to being incited by fake news and anger, leading to the manipulation of elections.

 In addition, with the Supreme Court dominated by conservatives, money-driven elections have become the norm, further it has become increasingly favorable to the vested interest groups.

 

In this way, the American people lost sight of the truth and became manipulated.

 

　The third is Christian fundamentalism (restorationism and nostalgia), which is unique to the United States. While Christianity in Europe has become increasingly secularized, this denomination in the U.S.—a remnant of the Western frontier era—places great emphasis on conversion (a passion so intense it overwhelms reason), and has repeatedly shaken American society, spurred by fervor. This was fueled by a sense of crisis stemming from the massive influx of non-white immigrants and the liberal human rights movement—as symbolized by the post-war Red Scare (Communism). Their extreme fear and hostility have fueled many overseas invasions. Furthermore, given the large number of wealthy Jews in the United States, the belief in Armageddon—which leads to support for Israel—has likely gained momentum as well.

 

 By co-opting this sect into the electoral process, the Republican Party expanded its influence and gained greater freedom, as its policies no longer had to be based on scientific or logical conclusions. In fact, this tactic is employed in many beleaguered nations, where vested interests seeking to regain power have succeeded by co-opting fundamentalist religious sects. Islamic fundamentalism in Saudi Arabia, Putin’s Russian Orthodox Church, and similar movements in Israel, Iran and India are all examples of this. While this alliance offers many benefits to those in power and to religious sects, it will undoubtedly be a tragedy for the people. This religious issue is likely to continue causing serious problems in the future.

 

Religion brings peace to communities and people, but it often blinds them.

 

 

 

If Left Unchecked, It Will Become the Greatest Crisis: How Should We Confront It?　

Summary of Chapter 4 and 5

 

　If the American people fail to restore political normalcy in these midterm elections, they will likely never be able to recover through nonviolent means again.I sincerely hope that the United States will demonstrate its conscience to the world. If it fails to do so, the possibility that Putin, Trump, Israel, China, and North Korea will plunge the world into a cauldron of war will become a very real threat. Furthermore, it will become impossible to prevent numerous other major crises.

 

I implore all sensible Americans to respect science and the truth, to reject this utterly immoral individual, and to restore the free and democratic society that once held so much hope and success. Young people in the United States are currently facing ongoing hardships, and while securing their daily bread may take priority over saving the world or preventing dictatorship, Trump will only make things worse. The reason is clear. Whether it’s his grandstanding and lies, his unscientific and illogical views, his lack of understanding of policy, or his egotism and self-righteousness—no matter which aspect you consider, it’s obvious that he is unfit to lead in the difficult times ahead.

 

Hitler captivated the nation with his speeches, but he was, after all, just an art student and a private soldier—a complete amateur when it came to policy. In the early days, In the early days, there were talented individuals around him, and they were able to implement policies effectively, but later they were purged by Hitler. Trump’s business career has been marked by a string of bankruptcies and the frequent use of SLAPP lawsuits, and he has managed to get by in part because of that. You should avoid people who are not trustworthy.

 

 

 

In Conclusion

  It will not be easy for the United States to recover, but looking at the world and at history, it is by no means impossible. Unfortunately, the bureaucrats at the heart of Japan’s government are inward-looking, so they are of no help in the face of a crisis like this. I apologize for that. However, there is hope, as the social systems of the Nordic welfare states serve as a useful model.

 

Thank you for reading my work for so long.